Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000080 0.000090 0.000100 0.000112 0.000126 0.000140 0.000156
2024-12-15 0.000065 0.000079 0.000094 0.000113 0.000135 0.000160 0.000191
2024-12-22 0.000057 0.000073 0.000092 0.000116 0.000146 0.000182 0.000227
2024-12-29 0.000050 0.000067 0.000089 0.000117 0.000154 0.000198 0.000257
2025-01-05 0.000045 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121 0.000164 0.000218 0.000291
2025-01-12 0.000040 0.000058 0.000083 0.000118 0.000166 0.000227 0.000312
2025-01-19 0.000036 0.000056 0.000082 0.000120 0.000173 0.000243 0.000342
2025-01-26 0.000033 0.000052 0.000079 0.000119 0.000176 0.000253 0.000365
2025-02-02 0.000031 0.000051 0.000080 0.000123 0.000187 0.000275 0.000404
2025-02-09 0.000029 0.000049 0.000079 0.000125 0.000194 0.000292 0.000437
2025-02-16 0.000028 0.000048 0.000078 0.000127 0.000201 0.000308 0.000470
2025-02-23 0.000025 0.000045 0.000075 0.000125 0.000202 0.000315 0.000490
2025-03-02 0.000023 0.000042 0.000072 0.000123 0.000204 0.000324 0.000513
2025-03-09 0.000021 0.000040 0.000071 0.000124 0.000210 0.000339 0.000545
2025-03-16 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000128 0.000220 0.000360 0.000588
2025-03-23 0.000019 0.000038 0.000071 0.000129 0.000225 0.000376 0.000622
2025-03-30 0.000018 0.000038 0.000072 0.000133 0.000235 0.000398 0.000668
2025-04-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000130 0.000235 0.000404 0.000688
2025-04-13 0.000016 0.000035 0.000068 0.000132 0.000242 0.000422 0.000727
2025-04-20 0.000015 0.000033 0.000066 0.000130 0.000244 0.000431 0.000753
2025-04-27 0.000014 0.000033 0.000068 0.000135 0.000257 0.000459 0.000810
2025-05-04 0.000014 0.000032 0.000068 0.000138 0.000265 0.000479 0.000855
2025-05-11 0.000013 0.000032 0.000068 0.000140 0.000272 0.000498 0.000899